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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+5.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+5.15vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.15vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.88vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+1.48vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+1.58vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-1.02vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-3.32vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-5.13vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-2.03vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University3.43-6.16vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.15-5.90vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.95-2.09vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-4.65vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.37+0.32vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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10.88Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.58Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.97Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.84Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.1Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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14.91Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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13.35Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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19.32University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Mark Davies | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 27.2% | 5.4% |
| Phillip Schofield | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 2.4% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 84.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.