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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.96vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+10.14vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15+6.14vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+3.84vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+0.21vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.61vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-0.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.85vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-4.87vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-4.33vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.28vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-3.89vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-0.37+1.38vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.95-4.08vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College2.72-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University3.150.0%1st Place
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8.84Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.94Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.84George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.67Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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13.11Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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19.38University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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14.92Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.21Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 2.3% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 86.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 4.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.