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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+5.07vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+4.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37+2.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.15+1.96vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50-0.57vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-2.45vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.12vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43+1.40vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.95+2.30vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-2.00vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.90vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-5.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-8.19vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-9.04vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.31vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.37-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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10.76Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University3.150.0%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.55Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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13.4Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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15.3Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.0Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.64Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.81George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.96Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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13.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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19.4University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 2.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 28.8% | 6.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.