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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+5.77vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+5.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.06+4.71vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+5.80vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+2.86vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.95+6.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+1.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.90-0.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-1.43vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.79vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-3.07vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.33vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-2.59vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-3.40vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-6.58vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.24vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.66vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland0.45-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.8Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.51Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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12.79Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.41Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.6Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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15.76Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.34SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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17.51University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.