← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.06+6.59vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.82vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.90+5.36vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.89+4.24vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.23+1.83vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.07vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.17+0.31vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.88+4.43vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.54+0.68vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+2.58vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-1.39vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.58-2.22vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University1.93-0.20vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.97-6.19vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University1.08+0.58vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.60vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.36-6.53vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-6.20vs Predicted
-
19Eckerd College1.95-6.67vs Predicted
-
20University of Maryland0.45-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.82U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.36Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.24Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
6.83College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.31Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
12.43Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
9.68Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.58Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
-
9.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
-
9.78George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
12.8Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.81Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
15.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
14.4SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.33Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
-
17.49University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Brown | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 21.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.