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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+6.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+9.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+5.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+3.09vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.14vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+0.89vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+5.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+2.43vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.95+3.29vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-1.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-2.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.91vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88-1.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-7.07vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-8.01vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-4.68vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.20vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.64vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland0.45-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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12.83Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.29Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.63Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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12.32Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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15.8Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.36SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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17.52University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 8.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 21.9% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 10.3% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.