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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+7.08vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+6.10vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+12.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+4.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+3.61vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.24+8.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-1.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.28vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.95+2.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.23-4.14vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.06-4.34vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.47vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.88-2.48vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-6.32vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-4.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.97-10.18vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland0.45-1.69vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College1.69-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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15.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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15.34Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.34Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.52Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.28Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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17.31University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 21.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 12.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Jack Brown | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 44.2% |
| Hunter Kahler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.