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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+14.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+4.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+5.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+2.72vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+3.75vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.22vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.35vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.17-2.99vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.06-3.43vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.69vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.24+2.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.58vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.88-2.46vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.81vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.56vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.69-4.59vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland0.45-1.69vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.95-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.46Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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7.01Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.69Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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15.36Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.54Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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13.41SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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17.31University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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12.43Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| Jack Brown | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 43.6% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.