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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+5.64vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+6.07vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+6.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+4.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+4.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.04vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+5.37vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.06-1.72vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-1.53vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-2.25vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.67vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.80vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.17-9.08vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.88-4.65vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.24-2.90vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland0.45-1.70vs Predicted
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20Hampton University1.08-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.07Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.33Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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13.2SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.1Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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17.3University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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15.62Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 43.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.