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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+4.73vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.63+10.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+5.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+4.61vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.18vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88+4.23vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54+0.57vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.54vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+1.41vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.24+3.15vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-3.22vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-7.08vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.90-6.93vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.86vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.06-9.69vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.43vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.97-11.34vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland0.45-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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13.55Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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12.23Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.41Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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15.15Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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13.14SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.31Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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15.57Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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17.37University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 14.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 19.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.