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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.01vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+6.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+4.13vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+10.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+1.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.75vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-1.12vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.63+4.60vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-0.38vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.06-3.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-3.56vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-1.65vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-8.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-5.46vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.88-4.51vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-5.38vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.69-5.66vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland0.45-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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15.64Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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13.6Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.35Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.49Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.62Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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13.34SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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17.48University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 21.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Brown | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.