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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+7.11vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+4.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.62vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+0.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+1.70vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23-1.64vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89-1.26vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.63+3.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.23vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-2.64vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.87vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.20vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-3.88vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-3.41vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.24-3.23vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.35-0.47vs Predicted
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20Hampton University1.08-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.74Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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13.18Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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12.12Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.59Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.77Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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18.53University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.3Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 7.8% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 65.7% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.