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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.51vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+5.52vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+11.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+4.26vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+2.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.04vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.34vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.95vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.88+0.42vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.90-4.85vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-0.87vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-8.45vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.89vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-7.96vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-4.24vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.24-4.36vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.2Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.95SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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12.42Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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13.76Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.64Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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18.59University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 11.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 11.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 4.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Jack Brown | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 4.4% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 6.9% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 12.6% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.