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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+7.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+4.38vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+10.13vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+0.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+1.21vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+0.32vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.53vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-2.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-1.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.21vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.44+1.26vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.81vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.63-1.84vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-3.82vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.54-7.71vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.24-3.25vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-5.32vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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15.13Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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14.26SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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11.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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13.16Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.18Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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14.75Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.68Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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18.58University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sam White | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 8.1% |
| Jack Brown | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 6.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 7.6% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.