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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+6.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+4.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+5.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+1.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+1.90vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88+4.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.47vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.44+4.15vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.78-2.45vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.63+1.57vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.74vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.64vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-2.15vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.23-10.45vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.93-5.76vs Predicted
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19Hampton University1.08-3.73vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.9Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.23Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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14.15SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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13.57Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.88Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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13.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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12.24Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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15.27Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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18.68University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
| Sam White | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 3.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Jack Brown | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 22.0% | 10.9% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.