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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+7.30vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+6.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+4.02vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+10.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.90+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+0.93vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+5.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78-0.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-1.36vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.47vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-2.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.22-7.38vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-2.84vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.17-9.10vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.88-4.76vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-3.98vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.96vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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15.27Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.42George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.16Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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12.24Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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14.02Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.04SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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18.69University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 25.2% | 9.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Sam White | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Brown | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 4.7% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.