Race 5A

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 42.8% 30.1% 15.6% 7.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 17.1% 21.9% 20.3% 16.3% 12.2% 7.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ella Beck 7.2% 9.5% 12.7% 13.8% 15.9% 16.0% 14.6% 8.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Alex Cross 6.2% 8.2% 11.3% 12.5% 15.8% 17.5% 15.0% 10.4% 2.9% 0.1%
Josh Hacker 4.2% 4.9% 6.4% 9.7% 11.7% 13.7% 20.3% 21.4% 6.7% 1.1%
Marco Constantini 13.4% 13.5% 17.7% 18.8% 15.2% 11.3% 6.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Casey Dietsch 5.7% 7.1% 9.7% 13.1% 15.1% 15.6% 16.2% 14.1% 2.8% 0.7%
Cooper Avery 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 8.2% 44.4% 37.8%
Reed Rossell 2.9% 3.7% 5.0% 7.6% 8.2% 13.0% 18.3% 28.5% 10.8% 1.8%
Piper Luke 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 5.2% 29.8% 58.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.