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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.94+2.04vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.29+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.77+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.58-0.32vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.58-1.33vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.78-0.78vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.08+1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.32-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago0.49-3.18vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.65-2.07vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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6.23Northwestern University0.290.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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5.22Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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8.65Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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7.93Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.65Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Cummins | 25.0% | 23.4% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.8% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 22.0% | 46.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 22.0% | 46.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.