← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.87vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.79vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.73vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58+0.94vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University0.86+0.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.04-1.18vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University-1.04+1.17vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University0.71-2.13vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.73-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87U. S. Naval Academy1.7815.8%1st Place
-
2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.1628.5%1st Place
-
3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6817.2%1st Place
-
4.94Hampton University0.589.3%1st Place
-
5.32Old Dominion University0.867.1%1st Place
-
4.82University of Pennsylvania1.048.6%1st Place
-
8.17George Washington University-1.041.3%1st Place
-
5.87Fordham University0.715.5%1st Place
-
5.48Christopher Newport University0.736.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.5% | 23.5% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 3.2% |
| Sam Riley | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 5.1% |
| Ian Fox | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 70.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 9.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.