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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+5.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+4.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+5.80vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.87vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.63+8.43vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+6.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.08vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.78+0.37vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+6.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.39vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.89-2.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.90-3.80vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-3.64vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-2.79vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-3.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-7.77vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.71vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.35-0.34vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.22-13.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.43Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.53Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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15.46Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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11.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.21Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.42Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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14.29SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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18.66University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 3.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam White | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 11.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 6.8% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 70.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.