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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.78+7.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.70vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+2.77vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.08vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+9.58vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+5.70vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93+4.07vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-0.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.62vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.58vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.17-4.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-4.90vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.90-5.99vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-4.61vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.63-2.57vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.95vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.54-8.31vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University1.88-6.63vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland-0.35-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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15.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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12.07Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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11.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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7.2Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.43Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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14.05SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.37Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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18.74University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam White | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 24.7% | 12.2% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.