← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.71vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.90+6.07vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.97+4.93vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.92vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.78+3.54vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.23+0.80vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.17+0.21vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+1.14vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.63+4.41vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.89-1.84vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.57vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University1.08+3.57vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.54-2.99vs Predicted
-
14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.69vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.36-4.61vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.76-7.35vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.93-4.88vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.88-5.39vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.85vs Predicted
-
20University of Maryland-0.35-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.07Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.93Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.54George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
6.8College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.21Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
9.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
-
13.41Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.16Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
15.57Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.01Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.31Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.65Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
12.12Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.61Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
14.15SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
18.73University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 24.4% | 13.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 5.3% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 11.2% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.