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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+5.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56+4.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.23+3.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-0.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69-1.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-1.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.42vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.73-4.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-5.79vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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15.93Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Duncan | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 0.1% |
| Alp Rodopman | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 0.1% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.