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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+6.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+5.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+1.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.73+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.56+0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.74-1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.44vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-3.93vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-4.53vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.23-5.78vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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7.61Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.02Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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15.92Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 0.3% |
| Alp Rodopman | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 23.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 0.1% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.