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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.94+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+1.36vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.29+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.32+3.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.58-1.33vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.78-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.58-3.32vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.08+0.54vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.65-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.49-4.14vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Wisconsin1.940.3%1st Place
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3.36University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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6.29Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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5.23Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan1.580.1%1st Place
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8.54Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.94Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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8.54Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Cummins | 27.6% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 20.4% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 16.4% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 14.7% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 24.7% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.