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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.71+4.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.84vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.86+2.31vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-0.16vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.04-1.15vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-1.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.78-4.03vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-1.04-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Fordham University0.716.3%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.6%1st Place
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5.31Old Dominion University0.866.7%1st Place
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3.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6816.2%1st Place
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4.93Hampton University0.589.9%1st Place
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4.85University of Pennsylvania1.049.7%1st Place
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5.33Christopher Newport University0.737.6%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.8%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University-1.041.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 22.9% | 9.4% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.6% | 24.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Riley | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 3.9% |
| Ian Fox | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 5.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.