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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+6.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+5.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+4.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+4.69vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+1.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-0.74vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.73-0.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.97vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-1.92vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-2.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-2.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.43vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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15.93Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 0.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 0.5% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 0.1% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.