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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+6.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+4.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+5.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+4.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+1.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.73+0.40vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-1.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.57vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.69-4.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-4.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.78-4.26vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.40-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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8.12Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.93Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 0.1% |
| Ruairi OCearuil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 97.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.