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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+4.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.74+4.69vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+1.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-0.73vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+0.85vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-2.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-4.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.57+0.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.69-3.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.66vs Predicted
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15Williams College-2.24+0.73vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.20-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.82Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.88Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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15.73Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 45.3% | 4.5% |
| Brian Baker | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 0.6% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 93.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.