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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.58+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.94+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.58-0.30vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.78+0.24vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.29+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.49-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.32-0.67vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.65-1.06vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.08-1.43vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.74Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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5.24Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.94Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Sinn | 22.6% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 23.4% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.6% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 26.7% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.