Race 3A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Jensen 16.3% 16.9% 17.1% 14.9% 12.0% 10.6% 7.6% 3.9% 0.8%
Tanner Kelly 15.3% 14.1% 15.4% 15.6% 13.8% 11.2% 9.0% 4.8% 0.8%
Lizzie Cochran 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 10.4% 11.9% 16.9% 23.4% 9.2%
Kyle Reinecke 28.0% 23.7% 17.0% 12.7% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Ian Fox 9.8% 10.8% 11.7% 12.2% 12.8% 13.3% 14.9% 11.2% 3.3%
Joshua Bendura 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 10.8% 13.2% 14.1% 16.0% 16.2% 6.0%
Tyler Brown 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 12.6% 14.1% 13.9% 12.4% 12.7% 3.9%
Sam Riley 7.5% 8.9% 9.4% 10.7% 12.2% 16.1% 15.6% 15.1% 4.6%
Jamie Lynch 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 11.3% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.