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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+7.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+4.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+0.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57+4.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-2.84vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-2.85vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.69-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.74-2.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.78vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.60vs Predicted
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15Williams College-2.51+0.76vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.20-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.81Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.16Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.75Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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15.76Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 45.9% | 3.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 94.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.