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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+6.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+6.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69+4.79vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+3.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+0.13vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74+0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-4.81vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-6.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-6.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.65vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-2.07vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.51-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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15.88Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 0.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 47.6% | 3.1% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 95.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.