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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.37+4.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+2.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+3.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.79vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74+1.59vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+1.95vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-2.46vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.57-1.71vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.94-3.80vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.59-7.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-4.35vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.14-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.95Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.29Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Peter Neal | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Nate Peck | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| David Zymba | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.