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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.37+5.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+3.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.75vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+3.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74+2.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+2.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+1.70vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-2.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-2.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.78-3.21vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-2.89vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.14-3.35vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.94-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Neal | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nate Peck | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Martin Tipton | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| David Zymba | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 21.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.