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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.94+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.58+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.58-0.28vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.29+1.17vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.78-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.65-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.32-1.60vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.08-1.43vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Wisconsin1.940.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.22Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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7.88Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Cummins | 26.4% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 20.0% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 15.7% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 25.9% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.