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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.04+1.90vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.85vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.25vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.86-0.67vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-1.63vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71-2.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-1.04-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.2%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.7%1st Place
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4.9University of Pennsylvania1.048.8%1st Place
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4.85Hampton University0.5810.6%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6816.9%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University0.867.4%1st Place
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5.37Christopher Newport University0.737.7%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University0.715.5%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University-1.041.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.2% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Ian Fox | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.9% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Riley | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 5.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 8.6% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.