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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+3.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+4.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+4.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-1.41vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.37-1.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-2.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.74-2.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.29vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-2.97vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.14-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.02-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.5Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.33Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Puopolo | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Julien Guiot | 9.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Walden | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Neal | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Nate Peck | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Charles Lindsay | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 19.9% |
| Caroline King | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
| David Zymba | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.