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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+6.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+5.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+3.51vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+1.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78+2.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.37-0.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12-0.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.48-3.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.14+0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.36vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.74-4.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-3.66vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.51Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.44Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Peter Neal | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| David Zymba | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Nate Peck | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Charles Lindsay | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 18.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.