Race 1A

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dana Rohde 12.3% 12.3% 11.5% 9.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 4.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4% 2.6% 1.4% 1.5%
Sam Alexander 5.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.7% 5.2% 5.5%
Charles Lomax 10.7% 11.9% 10.5% 7.9% 9.2% 9.1% 7.2% 6.4% 8.1% 5.6% 4.7% 3.8% 1.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Eduardo Mintzias 6.9% 8.4% 7.6% 5.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.1% 7.8% 6.4% 5.8% 8.1% 4.7% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3%
John Lawless 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 10.6% 11.8% 22.1%
Reed Lorimer 4.4% 5.3% 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.0% 7.2% 7.7% 7.4% 9.1% 8.5% 10.9% 9.3%
Malcolm Lamphere 11.2% 7.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.5% 1.6%
Jimmy Madigan 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 5.3% 5.5% 7.4% 8.5% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.1% 6.2%
Nicholas Floyd 5.7% 5.6% 5.4% 6.4% 8.9% 6.5% 7.2% 6.7% 8.2% 6.8% 7.3% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4% 4.2%
Taylor Ladd 5.1% 4.9% 5.8% 7.5% 5.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 7.1% 7.9% 7.4% 6.4% 6.5%
Samuel Shea 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5.1% 4.1% 4.1% 6.5% 4.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.3% 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 18.2%
Christian Filter 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 6.1% 8.3% 6.5% 8.0% 6.3% 6.9% 8.4% 6.0% 7.0% 5.6% 8.4% 2.2%
Clark Uhl 8.6% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.0% 7.9% 6.5% 8.7% 7.7% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 4.3% 3.3% 2.6%
Gabby Rizika 5.9% 6.0% 5.4% 8.0% 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 5.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 4.4%
Dane Pedersen 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 4.2% 5.5% 4.7% 6.3% 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.