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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+6.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.84vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+3.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+4.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32+1.86vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-0.97vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.37vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-4.10vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-5.27vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-4.50vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.43-4.59vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.9Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Christian Filter | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Dane Pedersen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% |
| John Lawless | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.