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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.79+6.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+5.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+2.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25-0.57vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14-1.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51+0.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-1.72vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.43-1.53vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-4.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.71vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.66vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.80-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.86Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.28Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| Christian Filter | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Dane Pedersen | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| John Lawless | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 19.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.