Race 4A

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Taylor Ladd 6.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.2% 5.8% 7.6% 6.0% 7.5% 7.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.6% 7.4% 6.4%
Nicholas Floyd 6.1% 5.5% 7.7% 6.3% 8.5% 6.3% 8.0% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 7.1% 6.9% 7.4% 6.6% 4.5%
Eduardo Mintzias 7.4% 7.9% 6.0% 7.5% 7.9% 6.2% 7.9% 7.0% 7.9% 6.5% 7.7% 6.8% 5.1% 4.4% 3.8%
Clark Uhl 8.6% 9.1% 8.5% 9.6% 6.9% 7.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 5.9% 5.0% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2%
Sam Alexander 6.1% 6.8% 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 5.9% 9.6% 6.8% 7.7% 7.1% 7.1% 5.8%
Gabby Rizika 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.7% 7.1% 7.9% 5.8% 5.4%
Dana Rohde 12.5% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 9.9% 9.0% 7.8% 5.6% 5.7% 5.0% 3.9% 4.3% 2.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Charles Lomax 10.7% 11.4% 9.9% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 5.1% 4.7% 4.1% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 5.2% 4.1% 3.9% 1.8% 1.2%
Samuel Shea 3.8% 3.2% 3.1% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.3% 6.2% 5.5% 7.6% 8.0% 9.5% 12.1% 15.8%
Christian Filter 6.7% 9.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 6.9% 7.1% 5.7% 7.6% 5.9% 6.7% 5.3% 4.1%
Reed Lorimer 4.8% 2.3% 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.9% 5.0% 6.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 9.3% 8.9% 9.7% 11.1%
Dane Pedersen 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 6.4% 6.7% 3.5% 6.3% 8.5% 9.0% 10.0% 11.7% 12.5%
Jimmy Madigan 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3% 6.5% 6.7% 5.4%
John Lawless 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 2.5% 5.0% 3.2% 4.3% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 10.0% 13.4% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.