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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.85vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+4.40vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+3.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+3.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14-0.24vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+0.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-2.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-1.70vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.43-1.54vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.29vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.32-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.76Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.14Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Floyd | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 10.3% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Christian Filter | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Dane Pedersen | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 21.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.