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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.78+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.94+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.58-0.32vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.58-1.32vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.29+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.49-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.32-0.65vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.08-0.41vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.65-2.06vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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5.3Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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3.68Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.59Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.94Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.59Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Sinn | 22.4% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 8.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 22.7% | 22.5% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.4% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 16.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 21.8% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 25.2% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 21.8% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.