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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+3.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.81+2.28vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.76vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.86+0.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-2.33vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-1.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16-5.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-1.04-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Hampton University0.589.3%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy1.7817.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania0.817.7%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University0.715.2%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University0.866.9%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6818.1%1st Place
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5.36Christopher Newport University0.737.3%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.8%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University-1.040.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 17.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Margaux Cowles | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 6.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 7.8% |
| Sam Riley | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 18.1% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 6.2% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.8% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Lynch | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.