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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+7.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+6.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.24+6.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.95+0.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+0.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-3.48vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-2.82vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.33vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-2.96vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-7.25vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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7.37Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.18Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Christian Filter | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Alden Crowe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 21.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 16.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.