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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.26vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+5.08vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+2.58vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+2.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.28vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14-1.17vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-1.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.95vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-2.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.55vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.24-2.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-4.27vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Floyd | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Christian Filter | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Alden Crowe | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 18.3% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.