← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+7.06vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.51+6.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.03vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.97+2.51vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.32+3.83vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.77+1.10vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University3.14-1.18vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.25-2.63vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.96vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.79-2.90vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.95-4.22vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.41vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.24-4.03vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.75-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.06U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.03Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.03University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.51Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.83Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.1Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.82Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.37Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.1Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
7.78Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
-
10.59SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.97Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Christian Filter | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 22.7% |
| Alden Crowe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 16.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.