Race 11A

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Malcolm Lamphere 10.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 8.8% 8.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.7%
Christian Filter 7.0% 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 6.7% 8.2% 7.5% 6.1% 7.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.9% 2.4%
Eduardo Mintzias 6.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.6% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.5% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 4.4% 3.2%
Samuel Shea 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 5.2% 8.0% 7.7% 8.6% 12.7% 13.8%
Sam Alexander 6.1% 5.6% 7.5% 6.1% 5.6% 7.0% 6.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 7.5% 4.8%
Dana Rohde 12.3% 10.5% 10.2% 9.3% 10.9% 9.2% 7.0% 8.3% 6.1% 4.6% 4.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Reed Lorimer 6.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.9% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 10.2%
Jimmy Madigan 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 5.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.9% 6.4% 7.2% 5.5%
Gabby Rizika 5.1% 5.9% 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 8.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 5.9% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 5.1%
John Lawless 3.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.7% 7.9% 9.9% 12.5% 20.1%
Clark Uhl 8.8% 9.5% 8.8% 8.4% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 5.9% 6.3% 5.3% 5.7% 6.7% 2.9% 2.4%
Alden Crowe 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 4.7% 6.0% 5.5% 7.5% 8.4% 10.3% 13.5% 17.6%
Taylor Ladd 5.2% 5.8% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 5.4% 6.8% 6.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.7% 7.5% 6.3%
Nicholas Floyd 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.3% 6.5% 6.5% 8.1% 7.6% 7.5% 6.3% 5.4% 5.8%
Charles Lomax 11.3% 12.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.3% 7.1% 8.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.1% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% 2.2% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.