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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.14+9.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+6.91vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+3.75vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+0.43vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+1.08vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95-0.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-1.60vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.24+0.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-4.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.08Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lawless | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 19.5% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Alden Crowe | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 17.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.