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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+5.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.78vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+3.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.13vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.38vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-3.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.24-0.92vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-4.67vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-5.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.43Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.87Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.240.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| John Lawless | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 19.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Christian Filter | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Alden Crowe | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 18.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.