Race 14A

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Charles Lomax 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 8.9% 8.5% 9.2% 5.8% 7.3% 7.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.6%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.7% 12.6% 7.9% 8.3% 9.6% 7.6% 8.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.7% 3.7% 5.9% 3.2% 2.6% 1.0%
Sam Alexander 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 4.2% 8.0% 7.0% 8.8% 6.1% 8.2% 8.3% 5.1% 4.2%
Taylor Ladd 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.8% 5.0%
Nicholas Floyd 6.1% 7.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 6.5% 9.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1%
John Lawless 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 7.2% 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 13.2% 19.6%
Christian Filter 9.6% 4.8% 7.4% 6.4% 7.0% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 5.8% 6.0% 5.5% 5.7% 2.3%
Samuel Shea 4.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.3% 12.5% 14.7%
Dana Rohde 11.2% 10.5% 13.2% 9.9% 8.6% 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 7.3% 4.3% 4.4% 2.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5%
Jimmy Madigan 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 5.3%
Eduardo Mintzias 6.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 6.3% 7.9% 6.7% 6.0% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 4.5% 4.3%
Alden Crowe 3.2% 2.0% 2.1% 3.5% 5.2% 4.5% 7.2% 4.4% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 8.4% 10.9% 11.9% 17.6%
Gabby Rizika 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 5.6% 6.3% 6.0% 6.5% 5.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.7% 7.6% 8.3% 6.8% 5.8%
Clark Uhl 8.2% 8.7% 8.7% 9.8% 7.2% 8.0% 6.9% 8.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 4.9% 3.4% 3.4% 2.1%
Reed Lorimer 5.0% 5.0% 4.2% 5.9% 5.3% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 6.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 9.9% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.