Race 15A

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jimmy Madigan 6.7% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 6.7%
Nicholas Floyd 5.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 7.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 4.8%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.8% 9.3% 11.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.1%
Christian Filter 7.8% 7.2% 7.9% 7.5% 7.9% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.7% 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 4.7% 3.3%
Clark Uhl 7.9% 10.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.3% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 8.5% 7.4% 5.8% 4.2% 6.1% 3.1% 2.2%
Dana Rohde 12.4% 9.7% 10.7% 9.9% 10.4% 9.4% 7.8% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Gabby Rizika 7.4% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.0% 8.2% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% 5.2%
John Lawless 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 5.5% 7.5% 8.9% 9.0% 14.1% 19.0%
Samuel Shea 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 9.7% 8.3% 9.1% 11.3% 13.5%
Alden Crowe 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 5.7% 5.3% 7.1% 6.5% 8.8% 10.0% 12.0% 17.0%
Eduardo Mintzias 6.3% 8.9% 7.2% 7.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.3% 4.2%
Reed Lorimer 4.3% 3.0% 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 6.2% 5.5% 6.7% 5.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.9% 10.4%
Sam Alexander 5.2% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.3% 5.9% 6.4% 6.4% 9.1% 7.2% 9.1% 7.3% 7.3% 5.4%
Taylor Ladd 5.5% 6.4% 5.4% 7.6% 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 7.2% 6.4% 6.8% 6.0%
Charles Lomax 11.5% 12.4% 10.6% 7.9% 7.7% 8.2% 8.0% 6.9% 7.4% 5.6% 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.