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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.58+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.94+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.58-0.34vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.29+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.49-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.32+0.45vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.78-2.75vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.65-1.06vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.08-1.44vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Chicago0.490.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.94Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.56Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.56Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Gullquist | 17.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 23.7% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 19.5% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 27.2% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.