← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tanner Kelly 16.0% 15.9% 14.0% 16.8% 13.5% 10.1% 8.7% 4.2% 1.0%
Sam Riley 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 11.8% 12.4% 14.8% 13.6% 14.1% 5.6%
Nathan Jensen 15.6% 16.2% 17.2% 15.2% 13.9% 10.2% 7.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Tyler Brown 9.4% 9.3% 11.6% 11.7% 14.9% 14.6% 13.6% 12.4% 2.4%
Lizzie Cochran 5.9% 7.4% 7.6% 8.0% 9.3% 14.6% 15.2% 21.2% 10.7%
Kyle Reinecke 28.5% 23.2% 17.7% 13.5% 8.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Joshua Bendura 7.8% 8.9% 10.5% 9.8% 12.9% 13.9% 15.2% 15.3% 5.9%
Margaux Cowles 6.3% 8.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.8% 13.4% 17.4% 15.3% 7.5%
Thomas Belcastro 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 6.5% 12.8% 65.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.