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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.86+3.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.78vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+0.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16-3.18vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.81-2.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.91-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88U. S. Naval Academy1.7816.0%1st Place
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5.12Old Dominion University0.869.2%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6815.6%1st Place
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4.88Hampton University0.589.4%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University0.715.9%1st Place
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2.82U. S. Naval Academy2.1628.5%1st Place
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5.25Christopher Newport University0.737.8%1st Place
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5.45University of Pennsylvania0.816.3%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University-0.911.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tanner Kelly | 16.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
Sam Riley | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
Nathan Jensen | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Tyler Brown | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 2.4% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 10.7% |
Kyle Reinecke | 28.5% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Joshua Bendura | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
Margaux Cowles | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 7.5% |
Thomas Belcastro | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.